Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.020918 0.022460 0.024065 0.025862 0.027819 0.029888 0.032245
2024-10-27 0.018498 0.020742 0.023199 0.026098 0.029434 0.033165 0.037670
2024-11-03 0.016744 0.019392 0.022403 0.026100 0.030539 0.035726 0.042289
2024-11-10 0.015616 0.018565 0.022028 0.026420 0.031885 0.038513 0.047239
2024-11-17 0.014419 0.017516 0.021246 0.026109 0.032343 0.040146 0.050778
2024-11-24 0.013514 0.016731 0.020695 0.025992 0.032965 0.041946 0.054575
2024-12-01 0.012640 0.015911 0.020022 0.025635 0.033204 0.043205 0.057675
2024-12-08 0.012044 0.015399 0.019697 0.025686 0.033948 0.045138 0.061782
2024-12-15 0.011366 0.014734 0.019119 0.025344 0.034107 0.046242 0.064751
2024-12-22 0.010700 0.014044 0.018464 0.024842 0.033990 0.046921 0.067107
2024-12-29 0.010194 0.013540 0.018028 0.024610 0.034223 0.048088 0.070236
2025-01-05 0.009723 0.013059 0.017595 0.024348 0.034383 0.049134 0.073221
2025-01-12 0.009187 0.012466 0.016981 0.023799 0.034093 0.049499 0.075182
2025-01-19 0.008932 0.012259 0.016903 0.024026 0.034975 0.051691 0.080221
2025-01-26 0.008630 0.011968 0.016688 0.024031 0.035506 0.053359 0.084504
2025-02-02 0.008432 0.011817 0.016666 0.024322 0.036491 0.055790 0.090238
2025-02-09 0.008090 0.011438 0.016288 0.024040 0.036543 0.056701 0.093398
2025-02-16 0.007817 0.011151 0.016032 0.023933 0.036864 0.058065 0.097439
2025-02-23 0.007506 0.010792 0.015653 0.023610 0.036806 0.058776 0.100341
2025-03-02 0.007306 0.010595 0.015510 0.023656 0.037360 0.060556 0.105329
2025-03-09 0.007031 0.010271 0.015159 0.023345 0.037290 0.061237 0.108286
2025-03-16 0.006737 0.009909 0.014733 0.022890 0.036944 0.061405 0.110256
2025-03-23 0.006516 0.009651 0.014462 0.022679 0.037010 0.062308 0.113720